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Table 5 ORs (95% CIs) for a 30% increment in baseline biomarker, and in year 1 to baseline biomarker ratio (change), based on cases occurring after year 1 and disease-specific controls, from the WHI estrogen plus progestin and estrogen-alone HT trials

From: Proteomic risk markers for coronary heart disease and stroke: validation and mediation of randomized trial hormone therapy effects on these diseases

CHD

Modeled variables

Na

Biomarker values included

Baseline only

Baseline + change

Treatmenta

491

1.14 (0.79, 1.66)b

1.16 (0.80, 1.68)

B2M baseline

 

1.22 (1.06, 1.40)

1.13 (0.95, 1.34)

B2M change

  

1.12 (0.96, 1.32)

Triala

 

1.09 (0.74, 1.59)

1.08 (0.74, 1.59)

Treatmenta

489

1.21 (0.83, 1.75)b

1.24 (0.83, 1.84)

ORM1 baseline

 

1.00 (0.87, 1.16)

0.98 (0.82, 1.18)

ORM1 change

  

1.03 (0.87, 1.24)

Triala

 

1.03 (0.71, 1.51)

1.03 (0.71, 1.51)

Treatmenta

395

1.11 (0.73, 1.68)b

1.11 (0.73, 1.68)

THBS1 baseline

 

0.95 (0.91, 1.00)

0.95 (0.89, 1.01)

THBS1 change

  

1.01 (0.95, 1.07)

Triala

 

0.96 (0.66, 1.39)

0.92 (0.60, 1.41)

Treatmenta

489

1.19 (0.82, 1.72)b

1.26 (0.86 1.85)

CFD baseline

 

1.09 (0.95, 1.24)

0.93 (0.73 1.19)

CFD change

  

1.20 (0.94 1.52)

Triala

 

1.03 (0.73, 1.46)

1.06 (0.72 1.56)

Treatmenta

479

1.18 (0.81, 1.72)b

0.96 (0.62, 1.49)

IGFBP1 baseline

 

1.01 (0.96, 1.06)

0.97 (0.90, 1.03)

IGFBP1 change

  

1.07 (0.99, 1.14)

Triala

 

0.98 (0.67, 1.44)

1.01 (0.69, 1.50)

Stroke

Modeled variables

N a

Biomarker values included

  

Baseline only

Baseline + change

Treatmenta

552

1.84 (1.28, 2.64)b

1.87 (1.30, 2.70)

B2M baseline

 

1.10 (0.97, 1.23)

0.99 (0.86, 1.14)

B2M change

  

1.24 (1.03, 1.50)

Triala

 

1.10 (0.76, 1.59)

1.13 (0.78, 1.64)

Treatmenta

508

1.67 (1.14, 2.44)b

1.57 (1.05, 2.33)

IGFBP2 baseline

 

1.09 (1.00, 1.18)

1.14 (1.00, 1.31)

IGFBP2 change

  

0.94 (0.84, 1.06)

Triala

 

1.09 (0.74, 1.60)

1.10 (0.75, 1.61)

Treatmenta

524

1.77 (1.22, 2.57)b

1.74 (1.20, 2.53)

IGFBP4 baseline

 

1.18 (1.04, 1.34)

1.10 (0.93, 1.30)

IGFBP4 change

  

1.10 (0.94, 1.28)

Triala

 

1.08 (0.75, 1.30)

1.10 (0.75, 1.61)

Treatmenta

474

1.60 (1.08, 2.37)b

1.60 (1.08, 2.37)

IGFBP6 baseline

 

0.99 (0.90, 1.09)

0.99 (0.89, 1.11)

IGFBP6 change

  

0.99 (0.91, 1.09,)

Triala

 

1.12 (0.75, 1.66)

1.11 (0.75, 1.66)

Treatmenta

526

1.74 (1.20, 2.51)b

1.74 (1.20, 2.51)

HPX baseline

 

1.06 (0.88, 1.28)

1.07 (0.84, 1.36)

HPX change

  

0.99 (0.77, 1.29)

Triala

 

1.11 (0.76, 1.62)

1.11 (0.76, 1.62)

  1. aN, total number of cases plus controls; Treatment, 1 - active; 0 - placebo; Trial, 1 - E + P trial (no hysterectomy), 0 - E-alone trial (post-hysterectomy).
  2. bAll analyses include baseline age, prior history of study disease, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, smoking history, treated diabetes history, prior HT use, and body mass index as regression variables to control confounding.